THE HILL: Trump, GOP are Early Favorites for White House, Congress

May 31, 2024

Former President Trump and the GOP are the favorites to win the races for the White House and for both chambers of Congress a little more than five months before Election Day, according to a forecast model released Wednesday by Decision Desk HQ and The Hill.

The model gives Trump a 58 percent chance of winning the presidency, and shows him with slight leads in most of the key swing states in the presidential race.

ROKK Co-Founder and Partner Ron Bonjean spoke to The Hill on what could shift these predictions.